Will the Qantas share price take off again in FY24?

Qantas shares have been flying high this financial year. Can this trend continue?

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The Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN) share price has been a market-beater over the last 12 months.

During this time, the airline operatorā€™s shares have risen approximately 31%.

But will the new financial year be just as kind? Letā€™s find out what analysts are saying.

Could the Qantas share price keep ascending in FY24?

While it is impossible to say what will happen over a 12-month period, all signs are pointing to the Qantas share price continuing its ascent.

For example, the broker community is overwhelmingly positive on the company and its outlook.

No less than five leading brokers have the equivalent of buy ratings on its shares with price targets implying potential returns of approximately 30% or greater.

Morgans is one of the most bullish brokers and has an add rating and $8.50 price target on its shares. Based on the current Qantas share price of $6.07, this suggests an upside of 40% from current levels.

Its analysts note that ā€œairlines are now in the sweet spot given demand is massively exceeding supply.ā€

However, it points out that ā€œQAN is trading at a material discount compared to pre-COVID multiples, despite having structurally higher earnings, a much stronger balance sheet, a better domestic market position, a higher returning International business and more diversification.ā€

It is a similar story over at Goldman Sachs, where its analysts also have a buy rating and an $8.50 price target on its shares. Goldman has suggested that ā€œthe stock is not even pricing in a ‘generic’ recovery, let alone improved earnings capacity.ā€

What else?

Also potentially of note is that short sellers are staying well clear of Qantas shares.

The most recent data from ASIC reveals that just 0.36% of its shares are held short at present. This is down from a modest 1% a year ago.

If the smart money isnā€™t betting against the Qantas share price and brokers are recommending it, then thereā€™s arguably little in its way to climbing higher if it continues to deliver strong earnings.

But time will tell what happens in FY 2024.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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