Can the S&P 500 really surge 42% by 2025?

Some analysts believe the leading US shares index still has a long way to go.

| More on:
a couple look dumbfounded with exaggerated looks of surpirse on their faces as te mman holds a phone in his hand.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Over in the United States of America, investors would be feeling pretty comfortable right about now, I’d wager. That’s because the flagship index of American stocks  – the S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP: .INX) – has had an absolutely stonking year.

The S&P 500 began 2023 sitting at around 3,824 points. But, as of last night, it had closed at 4,565.72 points. That’s a rise worth an astonishing 19.39%. For some context, the S&P 500 retreated by around 20% during 2022. So it’s been a rather marvellous recovery for US shares this year.

These impressive gains have almost single-handedly been driven by the ‘magnificent seven’ – US tech giants that we all know and whose products or services most of us probably use at least weekly, if not daily.

These seven winners consist of Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL), Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT), Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ: AMZN), Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ: GOOG)(NASDAQ: GOOGL), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ: META), NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA), and last but not least, Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA).

Most of these S&P 500 tech stocks have seen monstrous gains in 2023 so far. Chief amongst them is semiconductor titan Nvidia, which has seen its shares rise by a whopping 228.86% year to date. But the likes of Apple, Amazon, and Meta have all still seen a share price rise of more than 50%.

After a spectacular run like this, many investors might be wondering whether there is still any gas left in the tank here. Maybe it’s a good time to take some profits off the table and sell up?

Is it time to sell out of the S&P 500 and the magnificent seven?

Well, that would be a big mistake, according to several US market analysts. As reported by our Foolish colleagues across the Pacific, analysts at Goldman Sachs reckon the S&P 500 is still “undervalued”. And it’s all thanks to the potential of artificial intelligence (AI).

The ‘magnificent seven’ are all major players in AI, with Nvidia and Microsoft in particular at the vanguard.

It’s not just Goldman that thinks AI could power the S&P 500 market higher either. Consultancy firm Capital Economics has recently given the S&P 500 a 2025 price target of 6,500. If realised, that would see the flagship US index harness the AI boom to rise another 42% from its current level.

And ARK Invest’s Cathy Wood has estimated that revenue from AI software could “increase at 42% annually to reach $14 trillion by 2030”, helping to unlock new heights for the companies that harness it.

So it’s exciting times to be investing in US tech stocks to be sure. Let’s wait and see if AI can truly drive the S&P 500 to rise by another 42% over the next few years.

John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in Alphabet, Amazon.com, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, and Tesla. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Alphabet, Amazon.com, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Alphabet, Amazon.com, Apple, Meta Platforms, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on International Stock News

A woman in jeans and a casual jumper leans on her car and looks seriously at her mobile phone while her vehicle is charged at an electic vehicle recharging station.
International Stock News

Should I forget Tesla shares and buy this US stock instead?

Tesla has an Amazon-backed rival. Should investors change horse?

Read more »

A woman walks along the street holding an oversized box wrapped as a gift.
International Stock News

Amazon stock price jumps 10% after defying expectations

The world's biggest e-commerce company just sent a message to all the doubters with this second-quarter result.

Read more »

Happy woman on her phone while her electric vehicle charges.
International Stock News

Looking to buy Tesla shares? Here are 3 things you probably don’t know about Musk’s company

Tesla shares have gained a whopping 147% in 2023. But the company isn’t just about EVs.

Read more »

ASX lithium shares Electric vehicle with high tech lights reflected on it
International Stock News

Could the Tesla share price really turn 10-bagger from here?

Elon Musk reckons Tesla can 10-bag from here. Is he right?

Read more »

Woman using Facebook on her smartphone.
International Stock News

Meta stock leaps 7% as Family of Apps cash cow delivers growth

Meta investors could be pondering the prospects of its worst days now being behind the company after another strong quarter.

Read more »

A young woman with glasses holds a pencil to her lips as she is surrounded by the reflection of data as though she is being photographed through a glass screen project with digital data.
International Stock News

Microsoft stock falls on quarterly results as revenue growth slows

The market is reacting negatively to the company's latest results, despite beating expectations. What's going on?

Read more »

A woman in jeans and a casual jumper leans on her car and looks seriously at her mobile phone while her vehicle is charged at an electic vehicle recharging station.
International Stock News

Tesla share price tumbles 4% as profitability sinks

Tesla investors 'aren't accustomed to being disappointed'.

Read more »

electric vehicle such as Tesla being charged at charging station
International Stock News

Could this be the next major catalyst for Tesla shares?

Is Elon Musk about to tap into India to unlock the next wave of EV demand?

Read more »